Clareified

I’m so nervous. Not for nothing, but if Obama loses our country will be in a bad bad place come Wednesday. We’ll survive, of course, but if you thought 2000 was bad, an Obama loss will make us beg for the calm easy days of November 2000. And that is to say, I think Obama wins this. I shook my magic 8 ball up real good and it says “all signs point to yes.” Which is why I see serious badness if all the signs are wrong. Not that it can’t happen. I think the IC’s analysis that McCain has as much chance tomorrow as the New York Giants did in the Superbowl against the Patriots, is exactly right. (I know, crazy that a Cowboys fan could have an accurate Superbowl assesment considering that team hasn’t seen a Superbowl since the 1900s. And it looks like Romo’s never going to take them there.) Obama could fail to pull down Virginia. McCain could catch Pennsylvania on the side of his head. But it’ll be one of the ugliest upsets of all time and I hope against all hope it doesn’t happen. There will be too many questions about how it all went so wrong. And unlike big sports comebacks, there will be no instant replay, no worldwide broadcast. No, the crazy catches or string of ridiculous sacks will happen in backrooms of red states across the country. Instead of refs, whose names we know and faces we recognize, the close calls will be decided by anonymous cogs in party machines in the South and the West.
Furthermore, if Obama wins the popular vote, but loses the EC, it will be the end of the electoral college. No question. And I’m not sure how I feel about that…for the most part, I tend to be a conservative on these matters…but then again, I enjoy my five fifths of a person status now, so, you know, I’m persuadable.
I’m trying to go to bed early, so I can wake up super early and get to the polls first. I got my new Obama sweatshirt today: That One ‘08. I can’t wear it to the polls…wait a minute…it doesn’t actually say Obama…hmm…well, we’ll see. But I’m definitely wearing it to get my free Starbucks coffee and Ben and Jerry ice cream.
Anyway, I love this country, I’m not going anywhere, even if Cynthia McKinney pulls off a win. I look forward to the future –especially if the Dems have the White House and the Congress. Our stalwart four can feel free to immediately resign on February 1st. I think a young, energized Democratic body can and will change things for the better. By which I mean extend unemployment benefits.

“If Obama does win the election tomorrow, it will be in considerable measure because he has managed to teach Sarah Palin what a community organizer is capable of, in this case, organizing enough people to send her back to her community.” - Keith Olbermann

How long will Republicans be willing to stand on line to vote for a guy they don’t even like?

Win one for the Obamipper.

via pearatty

New Jersey’s own Senator lives in New York.

The candidates also sparred over whether Lautenberg, who lists his apartment in Cliffside Park as his voting address, really lives in New Jersey.

Zimmer said Lautenberg has his “principal home in Manhattan,” where the senator’s wife, Bonnie, has an apartment.

HAHAHHAAHAHAHAHA. Funny now, not funny Wednesday.

Why McCain might win: He’s an old white dude. America: Hundreds of years of electing old white dudes.
Why McCain might lose: He’s got a wacky chick who says “betcha” as his number two.

Why Obama might win: Stadium status. He is the most popular figure since…I can’t even pick a person.
Why Obama might lose: He’s relying on a lot of new and lapsed voters. What does inertia say about objects not in motion tending to stay not in motion.

Why McCain might win: Battleground states are trending McCain’s way. Polls show Iowa and New Mexico tied, PA and Florida within the margin of error, Virginia tightening and Zogby says McCain has a one point national lead.
Why McCain might lose: If you believe polls, even these pro-McCain ones, then you have to believe that McCain’s road is an uphill one. He doesn’t just have to hit one inside straight, he’s got to hit about twelve of them in a row.

Why Obama might win: Serious Bush fatigue. Has there ever been a campaign where the sitting President hasn’t gone ANYWHERE to campaign FOR ANYONE? Bill Clinton was impeached and Gore still sent him to Arkansas to campaign for him. Wait…how did that work out for Gore?
Why Obama might lose: McCain’s “socialist” smears are gaining traction. 50 percent believe Obama will raise their taxes regardless of what they earn.

Why McCain might win: Any November surprise will help McCain…unless it involves Palin.
Why McCain might lose: None of his last minute personal attacks :Malcolm X is Obama’s father, Obama supports the PLO or Obama’s illegal aunt lives in a Boston slum, have really made it past cable news coverage where the mythic “undecided voter” has been extinct since November 2000.

Why Obama might win: Has managed to market himself as smart, regular family guy who brings hope and change.
Why Obama might lose: Still a black guy. Ish.

Why McCain might win: End of days personal war hero biography may resonate with voters looking to reward his twenty years of waiting for his turn.
Why McCain might lose: Bob Dole and John Kerry are still waiting for their turn.

Why Obama might win: O.Prah. Op.rah. Opr.ah. Opra.h. Oprah. No matter how you put it, everything she touches turns to gold. Period. It’s like she woke up one morning looked around at her hit television show, hit magazine, billions of dollars, ten sucessful spin-offs and was all “I wonder if I could…no…hmm…well, it’d be funny if I made it a black guy…heh…this could be fun!”
Why Obama might lose: Has not made any use of Oprah during the general. Why she didn’t introduce him at the convention, I will never know. Why he hasn’t parked Oprah in Virginia, Ohio, Pennsylvania or North Carolina, or Indiana, I’ll never know.

Why McCain might win: America likes divided government.
Why McCain might lose: May have waited too long to make that argument and then quickly swapped it for Joe the Plumber all the time.

Why Obama might win: He’s taller, younger, healthier.
Why Obama might lose: We’ve never had a President whose last name ended in a vowel. Or a black guy.

Why McCain might win: From Drill, baby, drill to Joe-the-Plum-er da-da-da-dadada — the Republicans have catchier slogans.
Why McCain might lose: They still have crappy celebrities.

Why Obama might win: He wouldn’t be very much of an Anointed Messiah if he didn’t.
Why Obama might lose: Everything always works out for Karol.

And this is why I want to beat up undecideds. I hope Obama’s grandmother gets a chance to vote by Tuesday.

Amanda Jones, 109, the daughter of a man born into slavery, has lived a life long enough to touch three centuries. And after voting consistently as a Democrat for 70 years, she has voted early for the country’s first black presidential nominee.

I saw a McCain rally yesterday where “Joe the Plumber” (Who was introduced by John McCain as “his hero and a great American) stepped up to the podium and said he’s voting “for a real American, John McCain.” I wonder if Amanda, upon whose free labor back this country was built, or Barack Obama’s grandmother who had to work while her husband was liberating Europe from the Nazis, would have a thought or two for Joe the Plumber about what being a real American means?
And a further note to, sadly, the large number of women I’ve seen who said they supported Hillary Clinton for President and now they’re voting for McCain because she’s not on the Democratic ticket. Look, I didn’t vote for Hillary because she was a woman, I voted for her because she was the best person running for President in February 2008. She is no longer running for President. Now, the best person running for President is Barack Obama. The McCain/Palin ticket doesn’t come close to Obama, but frankly they don’t even come close to Hillary, and like I said, she’s not even running anymore. These people don’t care about you, Hillary voters. They don’t care about any of the issues you must care about if you ever supported the woman that they demonized for eight years as a feminazi and a carpet bagger. Sure, McCain “picked a woman,” but you didn’t just want a woman (Especially not one who referred to herself as Caribou Barbie on national television), you wanted Hillary. McCain didn’t pick her. He didn’t even pick Joe Lieberman, who he wanted, no he opportunistically pandered to your anger and disappointment and picked a woman who didn’t even bother to run for President herself 18 months ago when Obama and Hillary did. But a McCain/Palin win won’t heal the wounds of the failed Hillary campaign. And trust me, I feel you, the press was horrible to her, but don’t punish this nation with the McCain/Palin nightmare to punish the press. If anything, the press would be rewarded with four years of disaster news coverage. That’s what they live for! Instead, let’s give them the steady leadership of No drama Obama. Furthermore, a McCain/Palin win, especially in this climate, would — probably– be the final nail in the coffin for any hope of a Democrat, a real bona-fide, stuff we believe in, DEMOCRAT. Please don’t let anyone think that we are so easily duped that we’d trade a serious thinker like Clinton, who spent 150,000 dollars on her education for Caribou Barbie who spends a 150,000 dollars on her wardrobe for a month.
Amanda the daughter of the slave owner doesn’t have many elections left. Make this one count for her. If not now, when?
96 hours! Let’s do this thing!

Sarah Palin booed in Western, PA when she congratulates them on “their World Series Champs, The Philadelphia Phillies.” Apparently, that’s roughly comparable to standing in Shea and congratulating Queens about the Yankees’ World Series championships.

Keith Olbermann QOTD: Hey, Governor Palin, why don’t you try palling around with a map.