UHHH…HOO…RAY?
UHHH…HOO…RAY?
White Republicans and independents would rather vote for a Democrat than a black guy.
W]hite Republicans nationally are 25 percentage points more likely on average to vote for the Democratic senatorial candidate when the GOP hopeful is black, says economist Ebonya Washington of Yale University in a forthcoming article in the Quarterly Journal of Economics. White independents are similarly inclined to vote for the white Democrat when there’s a black Republican running, according to her study of congressional and gubernatorial voting patterns
between 1982 and 2000, including five Senate races in which the Republican nominee was black.
Her analysis suggests that GOP “white flight” in the Maryland Senate race could mean at least an additional 1 or 2 percent of the vote goes to the Democrat, and perhaps more — but only if the candidate is white. Together, independents who would otherwise vote for a white Republican plus GOP deserters may easily swamp any increase in black Democratic crossover to Steele.
April 25th, 2006 at 6:54 pm
Hoo-ray, indeed? Also from Mr. George.
“Now, something that should be kept in mind is that Maryland has one of the largest black populations outside of the Deep South — nearly 27 percent of the voting-age population. However, until Steele came along, no black had been elected statewide. Indeed, Democrats haven’t even nominated an African-American for statewide office.”
April 25th, 2006 at 7:03 pm
I’m guessing white Democrats would also vote for the opposing party rather than a black guy?